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If you are on an audit committee, a board of directors, or a CEO, request these reports from the CFO. They will help you verify that the company's profits are not illusionary. Personally, it is crucial for me to review them in every committee or board meeting.
The most dangerous form of financial illusion is not loss... but rather accounting profit that does not convert into cash. We can correct course when there is a loss, but an illusionary profit leads the company to the abyss while it applauds itself.
Financial statements answer only one question: how much did we profit on paper? But the most important question in the boardroom is different: where did this profit go? In the following lines, we highlight ten early warning signs, explaining what each means in reality and the report you should request from the CFO to uncover its truth:
1. Profit is growing while cash is not growing:
What it actually means: If free cash flow does not rise in the same direction as net profit, then the profit is merely an accounting one and holds no economic value. The report you should request from the CFO in this case is:
Net Income vs Free Cash Flow Bridge (Quarterly).
2. Sales are inflating while collections are delayed:
What it actually means: Profit on paper is rising while days sales outstanding (DSO) are deteriorating... the company is selling to hit targets, not to collect value. The report you should request from the CFO in this case is:
Receivables Ageing Report (Analysis of accounts receivable aging).
3. Inventory is increasing faster than sales:
What it actually means: Inventory is the grave where illusionary profits are buried... profit has entered the warehouse but has not entered the bank. The report you should request from the CFO in this case is:
Inventory Movement Report (Inventory growth vs. sales growth).
4. Profits are rising due to non-cash items:
What it actually means: Amortization, revaluations, reversed provisions, and paper profits... a rise that does not fund the company. The report you should request from the CFO in this case is:
EBITDA to Cash Conversion (with a breakdown of non-cash items).
5. Profit is rising while payment days are decreasing:
What it actually means: Management pays faster to beautify relationships, so cash leaves before it enters... causing an accounting profit accompanied by a cash squeeze. The report you should request from the CFO in this case is:
Payables Cycle & Liquidity Heatmap (with a comparison to the previous year).
6. Net profit is positive while loans are increasing:
What it actually means: A company that profits but does not generate cash will need debt to finance operations, even while declaring excellent profits. The report you should request from the CFO in this case is:
Debt Movement vs Operating Cash Flow (Debt movement chart – 12 months).
7. The word "expansion" is repeated more than the word "cash":
What it actually means: Some companies hide weak cash flow under the pretext of growth... and expansion never compensates for the absence of cash. The report you should request from the CFO in this case is:
Runway Report (after deducting expansions - how long the company can survive without growth).
8. The language of the financial statements differs from the language of the bank:
What it actually means: Management says our situation is excellent, while the bank raises interest rates and tightens restrictions... the bank sees the truth before the financial statements do. The report you should request from the CFO in this case is:
Bank Covenants Report (proximity to breaching covenants).
9. Profitability is improving while the cash cycle is worsening:
What it actually means: Any accounting improvement with a longer cash cycle means the profit is on paper only. The report you should request from the CFO in this case is:
Cash Conversion Cycle Analysis (Quarterly analysis of the cash conversion cycle).
10. Profits are driven by accounting decisions rather than economic reality:
What it actually means: When profit is manufactured by an accounting entry instead of being generated in the market, it is a profit without value. The report you should request from the CFO in this case is:
Accounting vs Economic Profit Drivers (Summary of profit drivers – quarterly).
These ten reports are not an additional burden on the CFO, but rather the first line of defense for board members and audit committees. Make them a permanent item on your agenda... numbers can be flattering, but cash never flatters anyone.
The greatest value is created in silence -
Mohammed bin Saleh
Passionate about Management & Finance
